Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.342392 0.405409 0.475856 0.560314 0.658686 0.769512 0.903701
2024-10-13 0.252243 0.336884 0.442386 0.582940 0.764610 0.990758 1.292803
2024-10-20 0.196198 0.292938 0.426196 0.621550 0.898692 1.275473 1.823719
2024-10-27 0.155175 0.256955 0.410670 0.656520 1.035776 1.593409 2.468381
2024-11-03 0.120682 0.220264 0.384147 0.668211 1.141252 1.887820 3.141135
2024-11-10 0.100389 0.200272 0.377964 0.709050 1.299223 2.290635 4.056298
2024-11-17 0.081082 0.176118 0.358173 0.721274 1.410941 2.638345 4.946243
2024-11-24 0.063287 0.149333 0.326384 0.703306 1.463749 2.892815 5.720061
2024-12-01 0.046684 0.119692 0.281000 0.647257 1.431159 2.984342 6.211833
2024-12-08 0.038296 0.105796 0.264717 0.646753 1.508027 3.295178 7.170617
2024-12-15 0.030656 0.091191 0.242918 0.628595 1.543046 3.526977 8.008790
2024-12-22 0.023860 0.076446 0.216743 0.593642 1.532728 3.660803 8.663433
2024-12-29 0.020446 0.070380 0.211823 0.612356 1.658303 4.127665 10.152955
2025-01-05 0.017143 0.063502 0.203067 0.619887 1.760868 4.566976 11.672013
2025-01-12 0.015073 0.059828 0.202453 0.649998 1.929518 5.196619 13.753303
2025-01-19 0.013272 0.056377 0.201594 0.679653 2.104925 5.877513 16.082387
2025-01-26 0.011258 0.051287 0.194047 0.687552 2.222691 6.436126 18.208955
2025-02-02 0.010156 0.049295 0.196220 0.726825 2.440916 7.298989 21.266662
2025-02-09 0.008730 0.045303 0.190165 0.737691 2.577017 7.965433 23.919598
2025-02-16 0.007132 0.039736 0.176420 0.718366 2.614945 8.365700 25.918855
2025-02-23 0.005409 0.032599 0.153909 0.660641 2.514299 8.347324 26.742751
2025-03-02 0.004594 0.029591 0.147099 0.659795 2.605500 8.918690 29.370848
2025-03-09 0.003768 0.026029 0.136550 0.641097 2.630085 9.290597 31.471465